Well, I just finished chatting with Chad Ford, NBA draft specialist...okay, me and everyone else on ESPN's web page finished chatting with him. But at least he answered one of my questions. That's exciting right? I didn't ask him anything about the Jazz because frankly, that's sort of a mess. They're picking 20th in a really bad draft class. Plus, Sloan refuses to play rookies and half the roster may be gone next season. So trying to figure out what they're doing in the draft would be pointless given how different this team will be once free agency starts. So instead I asked Chad about the Phoenix Suns. I might as well start following them since Kaiti and I will soon be living there.
Rich (SLC, UT) : Is Flynn around for the Suns when they (most likely) pick?
Chad Ford: (4:51 PM ET ) He's a possibility. I think Earl Clark and Austin Daye would be too. And I hear Steve Kerr likes Blair .. a lot.
What? Blair? Do the Suns really need an undersized power forward? Unless (que dramatic music) they play on getting rid of either Shaq or Amare...
There are a lot of rumors out there saying that both of these guys are being shopped around. Even Steve Nash might be on his way out. Personally, I think this would be a huge mistake. Getting rid of any of these guys would be a disaster. Shaq has played well and his expiring contract is worth a lot. If they want to trade him wait until the deadline, you're likely to get more for him from a team looking to cut money. Amare is the best player on the Suns, period. He has been a little disgruntled, but it'd have to be a damn good trade to get rid of a guy with his talent. Maybe he'd be more likely to stay happy if the ownership and GM stopped making stupid mistakes and trading away draft picks and all-stars (Joe Johnson anyone?). Nash is past his prime, but he's the face of the franchise and there aren't a lot of point guards out there better than him even at this stage of his career. The bigger reason not to get rid of any of these players is the 2010 draft. The Suns don't have a pick in it. If any of the above mentioned players is traded, the Suns forfeit their lottery pick. They'd tank a season and wouldn't even have a chance at improving in the draft. Not a smart move.
If they keep all those guys why draft Blair? He wouldn't see much playing time behind Amare and doesn't really help in any real way. The guy would fit better in a slow offense, not with the run and gun suns. Johnny Flynn is a much better option. He's a smart point guard and could take the much needed back-up point guard role while Nash groomed him to be the future of the franchise.
Steve Kerr has really made a mess of the Suns. Before he showed up the Suns were the most exciting team to watch. They were one of the top teams in the west and had a great coach. What did he do? He got rid of the coach, changed the philosophy of the team and took the fun out of the game for the remaining players (goodbye Raja Bell and Boris Diaw). He needs to go before he makes another mistake by taking Blair in the draft.
Or maybe Chad Ford is wrong. After all, the last time he answered my question he didn't hesitate to say that the Jazz would win the Northwest division in a landslide against the Nuggets. How did that one turn out again Chad?
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Thursday, May 14, 2009
The Drake Equation
Well, that does it. I might as well come right out and say it. I'm a nerd, a huge nerd really. It's probably not a surprise to anyone, but the reasoning behind my declaration may surprise some of you. Yes, it's well documented that I'm a video game nerd, a history nerd, a comic book nerd, and a movie nerd. But, I've joined into the strongest bastion of nerdom, the space nerds.
For the last 6 months I've been following a space blog called "Universe Today" It's full of fascinating information on anything from the latest design for the moon rover to cosmic rays and asteroids.
I used to be very interested in space and space exploration. When I was younger my dad and I spent hours building an Apollo rocket model and launching other rockets out of a local high school football field. Then I discovered that math was essential to perusing this interest. I've never been much of a math guy. So it became more of a hobby. Now I want to share that hobby because I am finding out all kinds of interesting things that I'd love to talk about with people.
Today I learned about the Drake Equation. To put it as easily as I can it is an equation that tries to assign numerical values to relevant terms to determine the amount of intelligent life in our galaxy. Sounds neat right? It is, in fact, why you don’t check out the actual equation here.
The Universe Today discussed it in relation to a "new drake equation", one that ultimately leaves us with the probability that there may be only one intelligent civilization capable of communication in the entire Milky Way, if that. That doesn't mean there isn't a lot more life out there on planets, but probably not comparable life.
This raises all kinds of interesting questions. is the equation flawed since it's based solely on earth experiences? Can we really set values for unknowns like the average lifetime of a communicating civilization? Are we looking for life the wrong way? Could humans actually be the oldest and most technologically advanced life forms in the universe? Will contact with other life ever be made? Given how small a percentage there is of another communicating civilization existing will we ever coexist at the same time with one? I literally have thousands of questions and it is tremendous fun to just sit and ponder some of these things. So, I guess I'm suggesting you too become a nerd. Check out the article I am talking about and then the rest of the blog. They update it everyday, sometimes several times a day, so you'll always have something interesting to read. Join the nerds.
For the last 6 months I've been following a space blog called "Universe Today" It's full of fascinating information on anything from the latest design for the moon rover to cosmic rays and asteroids.
I used to be very interested in space and space exploration. When I was younger my dad and I spent hours building an Apollo rocket model and launching other rockets out of a local high school football field. Then I discovered that math was essential to perusing this interest. I've never been much of a math guy. So it became more of a hobby. Now I want to share that hobby because I am finding out all kinds of interesting things that I'd love to talk about with people.
Today I learned about the Drake Equation. To put it as easily as I can it is an equation that tries to assign numerical values to relevant terms to determine the amount of intelligent life in our galaxy. Sounds neat right? It is, in fact, why you don’t check out the actual equation here.
The Universe Today discussed it in relation to a "new drake equation", one that ultimately leaves us with the probability that there may be only one intelligent civilization capable of communication in the entire Milky Way, if that. That doesn't mean there isn't a lot more life out there on planets, but probably not comparable life.
This raises all kinds of interesting questions. is the equation flawed since it's based solely on earth experiences? Can we really set values for unknowns like the average lifetime of a communicating civilization? Are we looking for life the wrong way? Could humans actually be the oldest and most technologically advanced life forms in the universe? Will contact with other life ever be made? Given how small a percentage there is of another communicating civilization existing will we ever coexist at the same time with one? I literally have thousands of questions and it is tremendous fun to just sit and ponder some of these things. So, I guess I'm suggesting you too become a nerd. Check out the article I am talking about and then the rest of the blog. They update it everyday, sometimes several times a day, so you'll always have something interesting to read. Join the nerds.
Monday, May 4, 2009
NBA Playoff Predictions: How I'm doing? 2nd Round
Alright, the first round is over and second round has already begun. First, let's see how I did predicting round one.
Cleveland swept Detroit, as predicted.
The Celtics and Bulls series was tough and long, just like I said it would be. I predicted 6 games and if the Celts had managed to get the ball to Ray Allen at the end of the third overtime I just may have been right, instead it went 7 games. I was close, but at least I had the right team.
I picked Orlando in 6 and Orlando won in 6. Not a big surprise. However the fact that they won without Howard and Courtney Lee was a bit surprising.
Miami and Atlanta, my first mistake. I thought Wade could win the series for the Heat, and if he had just a little help from his team he probably could have carried them over the hump. The problem? His team practically played for the Hawks. Oh well, you can't get them all right.
The Jazz and Lakers series went exactly how I thought. Utah was able to get by the Lakers in one game at home, but were clearly outmatched and outplayed the entire series.
I though the Hornets would at least put up a fight against the Nuggets, but it turned out that they were worse than I originally thought (i.e. losing by 58 points at home). The Hornets lost it in 5 and this series was never really in question.
Again, I thought San Antonio had a bit more fight in them. I thought it would be a competitive series. But Dallas more or less mauled the Spurs. They just aren't the same team without Ginobli. But, I still picked the winner, it just didn't go 7 games.
Portland got off to a rough start and although they played well, they were just too young to win this series. I should have known better than pick them. The Rockets played very well and despite Roy's superstar performances the Blazers were out in six.
So, I picked 6 of the 8 series correctly. Not bad. So who do I have in the second round?
Eastern Conference:
Atlanta (4) vs. Cleveland (1)
Atlanta had to play 7 games against the Dwayne Wade's, since the rest of the Heat didn't really play most of the games. So how could they go and beat the best team in the NBA which also happens to have the official MVP? There is no way. Cavs in 5 or 6. Atlanta is tough at home, so they might win a couple there.
Orlando (3) vs. Boston (2)
Boston had a tough time with the Bulls and I think they're pretty tired. With all the overtimes they played they essentially played an 8 game series. Orlando also has Dwight Howard, who Boston will have a tough time matching up against with KG still out. The onyl problem for Orlando is the health of Courtney Lee, who may miss some time with his own injury. They aslo don't have the homecourt advantage. Still, I just don't see Boston being able to handle the Magic after such a tough first round. I'm taking the Magic in 7.
Western Conference:
Houston (5) vs. LA Lakers (1)
The Rockets beat an inexperienced team. That's the exact opposite of the Lakers. They know playoff basketball and have a deeper, longer bench. Yao may get the best of Bynum and Kobe may have some trouble against the defense of Artest and Battier. But who's going to stop Gasol and Odom? It should be a decent series, but I still think the Lakers win in 6.
Dallas (6) vs. Denver (2)
Okay, okay, the series already started. I know. But come on, the last game of the first round was on Sunday morning followed by this series beginning. I had no time to write predictions in between round one and two. Thanks NBA. Still, I would have picked Denver regardless. Dallas ran into a broken San Antonio team and even though they are playing good basketball, the Nuggets are playing great. They have home court advantage and a deeper more energized bench. I've said it time and again, but this Dallas team just doesn't feel or look right. I think Denver wins in 5 or 6.
So, check back and see how I do on these predictions. Maybe some teams will surprise me.
Cleveland swept Detroit, as predicted.
The Celtics and Bulls series was tough and long, just like I said it would be. I predicted 6 games and if the Celts had managed to get the ball to Ray Allen at the end of the third overtime I just may have been right, instead it went 7 games. I was close, but at least I had the right team.
I picked Orlando in 6 and Orlando won in 6. Not a big surprise. However the fact that they won without Howard and Courtney Lee was a bit surprising.
Miami and Atlanta, my first mistake. I thought Wade could win the series for the Heat, and if he had just a little help from his team he probably could have carried them over the hump. The problem? His team practically played for the Hawks. Oh well, you can't get them all right.
The Jazz and Lakers series went exactly how I thought. Utah was able to get by the Lakers in one game at home, but were clearly outmatched and outplayed the entire series.
I though the Hornets would at least put up a fight against the Nuggets, but it turned out that they were worse than I originally thought (i.e. losing by 58 points at home). The Hornets lost it in 5 and this series was never really in question.
Again, I thought San Antonio had a bit more fight in them. I thought it would be a competitive series. But Dallas more or less mauled the Spurs. They just aren't the same team without Ginobli. But, I still picked the winner, it just didn't go 7 games.
Portland got off to a rough start and although they played well, they were just too young to win this series. I should have known better than pick them. The Rockets played very well and despite Roy's superstar performances the Blazers were out in six.
So, I picked 6 of the 8 series correctly. Not bad. So who do I have in the second round?
Eastern Conference:
Atlanta (4) vs. Cleveland (1)
Atlanta had to play 7 games against the Dwayne Wade's, since the rest of the Heat didn't really play most of the games. So how could they go and beat the best team in the NBA which also happens to have the official MVP? There is no way. Cavs in 5 or 6. Atlanta is tough at home, so they might win a couple there.
Orlando (3) vs. Boston (2)
Boston had a tough time with the Bulls and I think they're pretty tired. With all the overtimes they played they essentially played an 8 game series. Orlando also has Dwight Howard, who Boston will have a tough time matching up against with KG still out. The onyl problem for Orlando is the health of Courtney Lee, who may miss some time with his own injury. They aslo don't have the homecourt advantage. Still, I just don't see Boston being able to handle the Magic after such a tough first round. I'm taking the Magic in 7.
Western Conference:
Houston (5) vs. LA Lakers (1)
The Rockets beat an inexperienced team. That's the exact opposite of the Lakers. They know playoff basketball and have a deeper, longer bench. Yao may get the best of Bynum and Kobe may have some trouble against the defense of Artest and Battier. But who's going to stop Gasol and Odom? It should be a decent series, but I still think the Lakers win in 6.
Dallas (6) vs. Denver (2)
Okay, okay, the series already started. I know. But come on, the last game of the first round was on Sunday morning followed by this series beginning. I had no time to write predictions in between round one and two. Thanks NBA. Still, I would have picked Denver regardless. Dallas ran into a broken San Antonio team and even though they are playing good basketball, the Nuggets are playing great. They have home court advantage and a deeper more energized bench. I've said it time and again, but this Dallas team just doesn't feel or look right. I think Denver wins in 5 or 6.
So, check back and see how I do on these predictions. Maybe some teams will surprise me.
Thursday, April 30, 2009
Best Headline Ever
When things get slow at work I like to read. What? Just about everything. I read about sports, medical news, politics, buisness.I'll read anything that looks interesting. But today I was caught off guard by a headline on the BBC website. I frequent their Science and Environment page at least once a day and find out all sorts of cool information there. But today one article just made me laugh. I don't mean inside, I mean literally laugh out loud, or LOL as the kids like to say. I don't often LOL, but when you "Spider sex violent but effective " how can you not? I don't know why that is so funny to me, but it is. I thought I'd share.
Monday, April 27, 2009
Countdown to "The Move"
Well, it's official, Kaiti and I are moving. Last week we confirmed reservations for a POD to move our stuff to Goodyear, Arizona on June 25th. I also notified my boss that I'd be leaving work effective June 12th. With holidays and days off take into account that means I only have 30 more work days left. I can't believe how quick this is happening. In three months I'll be sitting poolside down in sunny Arizona getting ready to start my Masters program.
There are just a few kinks that we still need to work out.
1. Our apartment. We've spoken with our landlord, who is happy to let us out of our lease as long as we can find someone to rent the apartment to. Usually I wouldn't be worried about it, but with the economy being what it is, it might be slightly more difficult than it would have been in the past. If we can't find someone to take it over we're out $857.00 for the month of July.
2. Jobs. Kaiti and I will both start looking for jobs before we leave, but again, the economy is garbage. We both have a ton of experience with office work and have some connections in the Phoenix area, but this will still be tricky.
Of course there are other minor problems we're still working out like where we can store stuff, where the POD will go in the parking lot, how will Boo handle the move, how in god's name we're going to move the bed frame. But, all in all I would say we're on the right track. I just can't believe it's happening so soon.
There are just a few kinks that we still need to work out.
1. Our apartment. We've spoken with our landlord, who is happy to let us out of our lease as long as we can find someone to rent the apartment to. Usually I wouldn't be worried about it, but with the economy being what it is, it might be slightly more difficult than it would have been in the past. If we can't find someone to take it over we're out $857.00 for the month of July.
2. Jobs. Kaiti and I will both start looking for jobs before we leave, but again, the economy is garbage. We both have a ton of experience with office work and have some connections in the Phoenix area, but this will still be tricky.
Of course there are other minor problems we're still working out like where we can store stuff, where the POD will go in the parking lot, how will Boo handle the move, how in god's name we're going to move the bed frame. But, all in all I would say we're on the right track. I just can't believe it's happening so soon.
Friday, April 17, 2009
NBA Playoff Predictions: How I'm doing?
Alright, so I was a bit off with my predictions, but who saw Manu Ginobli going down for the season or the Jazz and Magic essentially losing every game they played since my last predictions. Oh well, I was sort of close.
Let's take a look at the match ups.
Detroit (8) vs. Cleveland (1)
My last prediction: Chicago vs. Cleveland
I knew Detroit could fall to number eight, so this match-up isn't too unexpected. I'm thinking this will be a cake walk for Cleveland given how poorly the Piston's are playing and how bad the chemistry is there. Cleveland in 4, maybe 5.
Chicago (7) vs. Boston (2)
My last prediction: Detroit vs. Orlando
I have to be honest, I'm surprised boston held on to the 2nd seed. I'm even more surprised that the Bulls shot up the 7th seed. I've been doubting them all season, so I guess they showed me. This will be an interesting series. Boston has lost Garnett for the rest of the season and their GM, Ainge, just went to the hospital because of a heart attack. How much is this going to effect the team? I still think the Celtics will win, but it won't be easy. Celtics in 6.
Philadelphia (6) vs. Orlando (3)
My last prediction: Philadelphia vs. Boston
Both of these teams have been struggling down the stretch. But, Orlando has Dwight Howard and some of the best three-point shooting. Philadelphia struggles from beyond the arc and doesn't have anyone to match up against Howard. Orlando will get by them in 6.
Miami (5) vs. Atlanta (4)
My last prediction: Miami vs. Atlanta
Finally I got one right! And I'm still sticking with my other prediction; Miami will win. Dwayne Wade is good enough to win a single series for the Heat and there is just something I don't trust about the Hawks.
Now on to the West.
Utah (8) vs. LA Lakers (1)
My last prediction: Dallas vs. LA Lakers
The Jazz fell apart and Dallas was better than I gave them credit for. Utah is playing horrible basketball and can't win on the road. I think they might win one, due in large part to D Will. But, if they make this an interesting series I'd be a bit surprised. Lakers in 5.
New Orleans (7) vs. Denver (2)
My last prediction: Utah vs. Denver
I thought if the Jazz could get the Nuggets in this spot they could take advantage of them and win the series. But in my opinion the Hornets don't have the same advantage. Chandler is still hurt and as good as West and Paul are, Denver is deeper and plays with a lot more energy. Plus, they have the home court advantage. I'm giving this one to the Nuggets in 6 or 7.
Dallas (6) vs. San Antonio (3)
My last prediction: New Orleans vs. Houston
Dallas is playing much better than they have been all year and it's happening at the perfect time for them. San Antonio on the other hand is facing a pretty difficult series without one of their most important players, Ginobli. This will be a dog fight and it's sort of toss up. I'm giving the Mavs the edge though, simply because San Antonio has a few more health questions. Mavs in 7.
Houston (5) vs. Portland (4)
My last prediction: Portland vs. San Antonio
This is going to be an awesome match-up. Both of these teams are exciting to watch and play true team basketball. I'm especially looking forward to watching Ron Artest battle Brandon Roy and Yao take on Oden. At the end of the day though, Portland is tough at home and has more star talent. I'm giving it to them in 7.
So, as you can see the match-ups I had were a little off, but hopefully these predictions are a little better. I guess we'll see when the playoffs start tomorrow.
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
NBA Awards 09
With a week left it's time to start talking awards for the season. I'll give my prediction and in some cases who I think should win instead.
Most Improved Player of the Year
Prediction: Kevin Durant
My Choice: Danny Granger
Why?
Everyone knows Durant is going to be a star in this league. The guy is putting up terrific numbers and will eventually be considered one of the top five guys in the league. Should we punish him for expecting greatness? No, but giving a guy the rookie of the year award his first year and than the most improved award the next? That's ridiculous. The only way he could have improved enough to deserve this is if he led his team to contention for the playoffs. That would have shown a genuine improvement instead of a natural progression. He's right where everyone thought he would be at this point in his career. Granger? Well, he wasn't exactly a high draft pick (17 in 2005). He has shown improvement every year and is now the clear leader of his team. His numbers are up and he's kept the Pacers in the playoff hunt through most of the year. They can still technically get in at this point. Durant's team has lost 12 more games and was never considered a playoff threat. Granger's put the team on his back and elevated his game beyond what people thought he could. That's why he should be getting the most improved player award. But I have a feeling Durant will wind up with it.
Sixth Man of the Year
Prediction: Jason Terry
My Choice: Jason Terry
Why?
He's clearly the best guy in the league coming off the bench. He's keeping the Mavs in games and providing scoring, energy and efficiency off the bench. The only other guy I see as a real candidate is Paul Millsap, but he started for most of the season due to Carlos Boozer's injury, so I don't really consider him a sixth man.
Defensive Player of the Year
Prediction: Dwight Howard
My Choice: Dwight Howard
The guy is leading the league in blocks and rebounds. Teams have to change their offense because of his presence in the paint. I don't think I need to say anything else.
Coach of the Year
Prediction: Stan Van Gundy
My Choice: Jerry Sloan
Why?
Van Gundy has done an excellent job. He's really transformed the Magic into title a contender starting with their defense. Plus, he was able to integrate Alston seamlessly when Nelson was lost for the season. I wouldn't be upset or surprised if he won it. But, Sloan has done an equally amazing job in Utah. The Jazz didn't have their projected starters on the floor together until late February and were still able to hold on for a playoff spot. Few teams dealt with injury as well as the Jazz and unlike Van Gundy, Sloan didn't have the defensive player of the year to help carry the team. Plus, it's absurd that he hasn't won this award at least once in his 21 years coaching the Jazz. The guy deserves it. He made the hall of fame this year, so he probably won't be getting this one either. But in my opinion it's odd to have a coach in the hall of fame when he's never been given coach of the year. Most teams would have fallen apart with the amount of injuries the Jazz had to key players, but Sloan made them execute and contend.
Rookie of the Year
Prediction: Derrick Rose
My Choice: Derrick Rose
Why?
He's put up very high numbers for a first year player. But the reason I give him the award is for his impact on the team. Chicago was a huge disappointment last year and most thought they'd struggle this year as well. Not with Rose at the helm. He hasn't been perfect, but he's led the teams to a potential playoff berth and is far and away the best rookie this year. His leadership and talent will lead to some great things down the road for the Bulls.
Most Valuable Player of th Year
Prediction: Lebron James
My Choice: Lebron James
Why?
He is in the top five in points per game, top ten in assists, top ten in steals, and has led his team to the best record in the NBA (so far). He's been magnificent and while Dwight, CP3, Wade and Kobe all deserve some consideration, at the end of the day, he's the best player on the planet right now.
Most Improved Player of the Year
Prediction: Kevin Durant
My Choice: Danny Granger
Why?
Everyone knows Durant is going to be a star in this league. The guy is putting up terrific numbers and will eventually be considered one of the top five guys in the league. Should we punish him for expecting greatness? No, but giving a guy the rookie of the year award his first year and than the most improved award the next? That's ridiculous. The only way he could have improved enough to deserve this is if he led his team to contention for the playoffs. That would have shown a genuine improvement instead of a natural progression. He's right where everyone thought he would be at this point in his career. Granger? Well, he wasn't exactly a high draft pick (17 in 2005). He has shown improvement every year and is now the clear leader of his team. His numbers are up and he's kept the Pacers in the playoff hunt through most of the year. They can still technically get in at this point. Durant's team has lost 12 more games and was never considered a playoff threat. Granger's put the team on his back and elevated his game beyond what people thought he could. That's why he should be getting the most improved player award. But I have a feeling Durant will wind up with it.
Sixth Man of the Year
Prediction: Jason Terry
My Choice: Jason Terry
Why?
He's clearly the best guy in the league coming off the bench. He's keeping the Mavs in games and providing scoring, energy and efficiency off the bench. The only other guy I see as a real candidate is Paul Millsap, but he started for most of the season due to Carlos Boozer's injury, so I don't really consider him a sixth man.
Defensive Player of the Year
Prediction: Dwight Howard
My Choice: Dwight Howard
The guy is leading the league in blocks and rebounds. Teams have to change their offense because of his presence in the paint. I don't think I need to say anything else.
Coach of the Year
Prediction: Stan Van Gundy
My Choice: Jerry Sloan
Why?
Van Gundy has done an excellent job. He's really transformed the Magic into title a contender starting with their defense. Plus, he was able to integrate Alston seamlessly when Nelson was lost for the season. I wouldn't be upset or surprised if he won it. But, Sloan has done an equally amazing job in Utah. The Jazz didn't have their projected starters on the floor together until late February and were still able to hold on for a playoff spot. Few teams dealt with injury as well as the Jazz and unlike Van Gundy, Sloan didn't have the defensive player of the year to help carry the team. Plus, it's absurd that he hasn't won this award at least once in his 21 years coaching the Jazz. The guy deserves it. He made the hall of fame this year, so he probably won't be getting this one either. But in my opinion it's odd to have a coach in the hall of fame when he's never been given coach of the year. Most teams would have fallen apart with the amount of injuries the Jazz had to key players, but Sloan made them execute and contend.
Rookie of the Year
Prediction: Derrick Rose
My Choice: Derrick Rose
Why?
He's put up very high numbers for a first year player. But the reason I give him the award is for his impact on the team. Chicago was a huge disappointment last year and most thought they'd struggle this year as well. Not with Rose at the helm. He hasn't been perfect, but he's led the teams to a potential playoff berth and is far and away the best rookie this year. His leadership and talent will lead to some great things down the road for the Bulls.
Most Valuable Player of th Year
Prediction: Lebron James
My Choice: Lebron James
Why?
He is in the top five in points per game, top ten in assists, top ten in steals, and has led his team to the best record in the NBA (so far). He's been magnificent and while Dwight, CP3, Wade and Kobe all deserve some consideration, at the end of the day, he's the best player on the planet right now.
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